23 Aug · 20:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gorchakova
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1403
FormWLWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+89
H2H32-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-6)