23 Aug · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1576
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1619
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H24-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-19)