23 Aug · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1636
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+144
H2H43-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-15)