29 Aug · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1633
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1640
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (512)
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H127-122
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.