29 Aug · 14:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1400
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1628
FormLLWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+228
H2H40-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-15)