30 Aug · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1482
FormLWWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1643
FormWWWLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+161
H2H110-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (110-38)