30 Aug · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1643
FormWWWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H44-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-15)