30 Aug · 15:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1551
FormLWLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
22%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+89
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)