1 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1532
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yureneva
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1477
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)