4 Sept · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1660
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bondarenko
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (100)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.