5 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1639
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1649
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 64% (519)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H108-110
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.