5 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1569
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1639
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)