5 Sept · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1639
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volgina
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1626
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H121-130
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.