6 Sept · 16:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1248
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1420
FormWLWWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~71 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H22-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-14)