6 Sept · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1248
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Melnik
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1246
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Melnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (115)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.