6 Sept · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLLLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Ivchenko
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1386
FormLLLLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
28%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+221
H2H48-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-12)