6 Sept · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ivchenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H23-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.