6 Sept · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1668
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H96-107
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)