9 Sept · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1640
FormLWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1810
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~72 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+170
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)