9 Sept · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1759
FormWWWWL
27%
73%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+198
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)