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← Setka Cup Women predictions
09 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PPPolina Pashchenko
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1504
1-3Final setsPlokhotniuk won
NPNataliia Plokhotniuk
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Plokhotniuk at 74%. The actual result was Nataliia Plokhotniuk 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Plokhotniuk favoured — closing 1.29
Favourite won
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Plokhotniuk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Plokhotniuk −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.43
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
9.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Polina Pashchenko is favoured to win, below means Nataliia Plokhotniuk.

▲ Polina Pashchenkopre 21% → final 0%
Nataliia Plokhotniuk ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games