9 Sept · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1700
FormWLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Plokhotniuk
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1561
FormWWLWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+139
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)