9 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1700
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1759
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H9-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)