10 Sept · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormWWLLL
31%
69%
🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (104)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+158
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)