10 Sept · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1708
FormWWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1797
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+89
H2H43-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-21)