10 Sept · 14:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1679
FormLWWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+192
H2H56-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-12)