10 Sept · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1708
FormWWWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Plokhotniuk
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1495
FormWLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
28%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)