10 Sept · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1583
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Budnyk
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1628
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Budnyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)