10 Sept · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1797
FormLLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yevtodii
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1628
FormLWLWL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~73 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+169
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)