10 Sept · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1640
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1679
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 64% (523)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H109-110
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.