10 Sept · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1708
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Plokhotniuk
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1628
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)