10 Sept · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bondarenko
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1640
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volgina🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (104)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.