10 Sept · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1679
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 81% (16)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.