10 Sept · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1758
FormLWWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
29%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+254
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)