12 Sept · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1490
FormWLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1671
FormWLWLL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H56-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-13)