12 Sept · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1632
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1596
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (280)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H121-131
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.