12 Sept · 17:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1490
FormWLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1596
FormWLLLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+106
H2H45-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-17)