13 Sept · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1566
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1587
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.