14 Sept · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1539
FormWLLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)