14 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1539
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1581
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)