14 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1539
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dronova
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H12-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.