14 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pashchenko
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)