14 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H128-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (128-53)