14 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurtenko
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H42-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.