14 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pashchenko
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1531
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.