14 Sept · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pashchenko
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+58
H2H6-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)