16 Sept · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1788
FormWWLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Yevtodii
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1567
FormWWWLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~72 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
28%
3-2
17%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+221
H2H28-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-8)