16 Sept · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1629
FormLWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1787
FormWWWWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+158
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)