16 Sept · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1629
FormLWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1788
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+159
H2H33-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-5)