16 Sept · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1788
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Yevtodii
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1695
FormWLLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+93
H2H44-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-21)